AI ResearchThe Decoder·September 16, 2026

Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024

Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon sparked an intense debate about existential AI risks with a single tweet. OpenAI researcher Daniel Selsam warns of a "ticking time bomb," and a former Deepmind researcher says AI could kill us all. In a survey of more than 1,500 leading AI researchers, the average estimated probability of an extinction scenario was 18 percent. That was in 2024. The number keeps…

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